The emerging political scenario indicates that the upcoming elections would be an interesting contest between the local chapters of Pakistan Peoples Party (PPP) and the Pakistan Muslim League (Nawaz) – PML (N). Another major player, the Muslim Conference (MC), will also be in the race for power while the Jamaat-e-Islami and the Jammu and Kashmir Peoples Party (JKPP) led by Sardar Khalid Ibrahim Khan have entered into an electoral alliance with the PML (N) which has boosted their prospects in several constituencies. Mutahida Qaumi Movement (MQM), Jammu & Kashmir Liberation League (JKLL) and Jamiat Ulema Islam (JUI) have also fielded their candidates. However, their chances of success in AJK seem limited. Interestingly, several nationalist parties on the name of National Democratic Alliance (NDA) also fielded candidates that used to boycott the elections. In the history of AJK, I have never seen a single prime minister or president who was elected against the will of Islamabad

La22: Farooq Ahmad Tahir will win
La 21: Dr Najeeb Naqi will win
La 19: Sardar Khalid Ibrahim will win
La 18: Sardar Ghulam Sadiq will win
La 17& 20
I agreed with your analysis great effort